Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:57:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x76a5…555c
sports · 774 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$751 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$751 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$751
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses372 / 377
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions25
Markets (closed)749 / 774
History coverage102d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 25 History 749 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$2
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No 90¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 93¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 92¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? No 96¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 93¢ 93¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No 93¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No 93¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes 93¢ 91¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $1 $0 +20%
UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweig Jun 07 $1 $0 +31%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 07 $1 +$1 +56%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $1 +$1 +107%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 -3%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $4 $0 -2%
Flyers vs. Penguins Apr 20 $25 −$1 -3%
Wild vs. Stars Apr 20 $15 −$1 -4%
Senators vs. Hurricanes Apr 20 $5 $0 -4%
Spread: Pistons (-8.5) Apr 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bruins vs. Sabres Apr 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Senators vs. Hurricanes Apr 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Apr 20 $55 −$55 -100%
Kings vs. Flames Apr 20 $60 −$60 -100%
Canucks vs. Oilers Apr 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Ducks vs. Predators Apr 20 $100 −$100 -100%
Kings vs. Avalanche Apr 20 $115 −$115 -100%
Utah vs. Golden Knights Apr 20 $35 +$24 +68%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Apr 20 $10 +$9 +90%
Wild vs. Stars Apr 19 $5 +$6 +114%
Blues vs. Utah Apr 18 $40 +$34 +86%
Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 Apr 18 $70 +$66 +94%
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin Apr 14 $1 $0 -1%
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-03-31? Apr 14 $4 $0 +8%
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $2 $0 -13%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $7 +$5 +77%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $3 −$1 -17%
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $2 $0 -24%
Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw? Apr 14 $4 −$2 -39%
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-02? Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-07? Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31? Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-05? Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 14 $3 −$1 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$999
other 14% +$264
world 2% −$16
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
politics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? BUY No 93¢ $1 28m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 100¢ $1 34m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 100¢ $1 1h
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? SELL No 100¢ $4 2h
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $1 5d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 5d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? BUY No 98¢ $1 5d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 5d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $1 6d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $1 6d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $1 6d
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +53.5% +38.9% 100% 100% +39.0%
≤30d 8 +1.2% -8.5% 50% 50% -16.1%
≤90d 735 -6.9% -15.8% 50% 41% -23.0%
all 749 -7.1% -15.9% 50% 41% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 41% -23.1%
10% -24.0% 33% -30.4%
15% -31.3% 25% -37.1%
20% -38.0% 20% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.48 · official $71.48 (match) · 3500 history records