Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:44:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x7686…43a4 crypto 505 markets active 7d ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (176 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$111 (-1%) realized −$111 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate52%304W / 284L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day176.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$345
7 days−$419
14 days−$566
30 days−$575
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$231
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (176 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 -49.1% -54.0% 36% 26% -28.9%
≤30d 588 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 20% -13.3%
≤90d 588 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 20% -13.3%
all 588 -17.3% -25.2% 52% 20% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover176.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 20% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.3% 7% -21.6%
15% -38.9% 2% -29.2%
20% -44.9% 0% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -33% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses304 / 284
Open positions0
Markets (closed)588 / 505
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day176.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 588 Trades
no open positions (100 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$6 -311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records