trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 33 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 30% | 6% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.6% | 6% | -15.8% |
| 10% | -39.0% | 6% | -23.9% |
| 15% | -44.9% | 6% | -31.2% |
| 20% | -50.3% | 6% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $577 | $577 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $462 | $462 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $1,026 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 17 | $1,043 | −$1 | -0% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | Oct 06 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Oct 06 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Braves vs. Nationals | Sep 16 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jul 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 09 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 07 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 03 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 02 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $118 | +$97 | +82% |
| Canadiens vs. Blackhawks | Jan 04 | $121 | −$121 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Jan 03 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Jan 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |