Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:56:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7657…66cc
sports · 30 markets active 0h ago
9.5score
+$1,108 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,097 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$122
Realized+$1,097
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses21 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions4
Markets (closed)26 / 30
History coverage3d
Avg bet$268
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 4 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$910
7 days+$1,097
14 days+$1,097
30 days+$1,097
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 62¢ 82¢ $50 $66 +$16 (+31%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 36¢ 38¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 22¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,003 +$128 +13%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $20 +$14 +67%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $71 −$12 -18%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $990 +$70 +7%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $904 +$150 +17%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $707 +$237 +33%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,295 −$33 -2%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $211 +$45 +21%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $523 +$124 +24%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -84%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$7 -73%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $101 +$57 +56%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $301 +$58 +19%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $202 +$38 +19%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $225 $0 -0%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$10 +94%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $200 +$8 +4%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$14 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $405 +$29 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 +$15 +152%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $338 +$41 +12%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $51 +$25 +50%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $111 +$73 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$1,033
crypto 6% +$33
other 4% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $1,131 9m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL KOLESIE 100¢ $34 9m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 51¢ $41 36m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 93¢ $701 43m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 42¢ $10 45m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 100¢ $714 46m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 73¢ $60 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 48m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 31¢ $17 49m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 59¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 79¢ $302 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 80¢ $148 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 80¢ $37 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 80¢ $283 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 74¢ $97 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 48¢ $118 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $10 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 Esports 45¢ $198 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 Esports 54¢ $30 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 42¢ $105 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 67¢ $101 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 67¢ $66 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 61¢ $152 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $1,054 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 86¢ $883 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 100¢ $881 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 73¢ $20 2h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $20 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 70¢ $505 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 60¢ $101 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +30.1% +17.7% 81% 65% +3.1%
≤30d 26 +30.1% +17.7% 81% 65% +3.1%
≤90d 26 +30.1% +17.7% 81% 65% +3.1%
all 26 +30.1% +17.7% 81% 65% +3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.7% 65% +3.1%
10% ← realistic here +6.4% 42% -6.7%
15% -3.8% 35% -15.7%
20% -13.3% 27% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.95 · official $121.95 (match) · 97 history records