Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:38:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x7655…e4c9 crypto 370 markets active 2h ago coverage 35d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$57 (+1%) realized +$57 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate54%199W / 171L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day11.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$83
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +46.4% +32.4% 50% 50% -11.6%
≤30d 359 +4.8% -5.2% 54% 50% -11.8%
≤90d 370 +4.4% -5.6% 54% 50% -12.4%
all 370 +4.4% -5.6% 54% 50% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.6% 50% -12.4%
10% -14.6% 45% -20.8%
15% -22.9% 37% -28.4%
20% -30.4% 29% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$17 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses199 / 171
Open positions0
Markets (closed)370 / 370
History coverage35d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 370 Trades
no open positions (54 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$28 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$25 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$54 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 24 $133 −$125 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$120 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$14 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$63 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$21 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $80 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $48 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $106 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 865 history records