trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 28% | 12% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.1% | 12% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -38.6% | 12% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -44.6% | 12% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -50.0% | 12% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $996 | $996 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $1,446 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 24 | $537 | −$1 | -0% |
| Commanders vs. Dolphins | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 16 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $6 | +$8 | +127% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 16 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $133 | +$96 | +72% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will the Giants get the second pick? | Jan 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Jan 05 | $122 | +$99 | +81% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $11 | $0 | -2% |