trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local | Apr 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 12 | $129 | +$123 | +96% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju | Mar 10 | $757 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA? | Mar 10 | $754 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 10 | $640 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series | Mar 10 | $661 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 10 | $634 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by March 31? | Mar 10 | $618 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Mar 09 | $537 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | Mar 09 | $45 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | Mar 09 | $622 | −$4 | -1% |
| Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Mar 09 | $37 | −$3 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1AM ET | Mar 02 | $4 | +$4 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ET | Mar 02 | $6 | +$6 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 12PM ET | Mar 02 | $15 | +$15 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 8PM ET | Feb 27 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 7AM ET | Feb 27 | $9 | +$9 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 1AM ET | Feb 27 | $13 | +$13 | +100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 23, 11PM ET | Feb 25 | $4 | +$4 | +100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2PM ET | Feb 10 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | +33.0% | +20.3% | 62% | 38% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +20.3% | 38% | -6.7% |
| 10% | +8.8% | 38% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -1.7% | 38% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -11.4% | 38% | -31.2% |