Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7634…600d
sports · 115 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$71,085 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72,022 · open +$936
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$6,284
Realized−$72,022
Unrealized+$936
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses55 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$12,711
Open positions4
Markets (closed)113 / 115
Avg bet$6,428
Trades / day777.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44,303
7 days−$72,022
14 days−$72,022
30 days−$72,022
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 60¢ 68¢ $4,800 $5,400 +$600 (+12%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 36¢ 81¢ $303 $690 +$387 (+128%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-30? Yes 51¢ 36¢ $164 $114 −$50 (-30%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 80¢ $81 $80 −$1 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ 0¢ $2,040 $0 −$2,040 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 24¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Spurs 53¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 10¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Pittsburgh Pirates 24¢ 0¢ $483 $0 −$483 (-100%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Seattle Mariners 62¢ 0¢ $2,480 $0 −$2,480 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) PortlandFire 57¢ 0¢ $1,341 $0 −$1,341 (-100%)
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Chicago Sky 0¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Los Angeles Sparks 60¢ 0¢ $4,800 $0 −$4,800 (-100%)
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $4,078 $0 −$4,078 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 1¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $4,046 +$2,697 +67%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $11,626 −$7,971 -69%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $82 −$80 -97%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $1,102 +$733 +66%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $437 +$234 +54%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $4,570 +$3,623 +79%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $5,091 +$3,365 +66%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $14,028 +$6,038 +43%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $494 −$483 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5,446 −$3,666 -67%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $4,373 −$2,626 -60%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) Jun 11 $4,439 −$439 -10%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 11 $4,858 −$2,112 -44%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $4,060 +$3,940 +97%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 11 $4,619 +$3,381 +73%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 11 $4,107 −$4,078 -99%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $4,856 −$2,462 -51%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $4,651 −$3,019 -65%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 11 $4,881 −$1,758 -36%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $5,413 +$2,587 +48%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4,080 −$1,040 -26%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $16,009 +$677 +4%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $6,994 +$1,429 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2,000 +$2,000 +100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Jun 11 $2,113 +$1,186 +56%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $386 −$381 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7,166 +$32,833 +458%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 11 $4,800 −$4,800 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $7,894 −$7,153 -91%
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Jun 11 $9,868 −$8,389 -85%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $6,602 −$3,120 -47%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 11 $13,455 −$6,717 -50%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5) Jun 11 $4,480 +$3,512 +78%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 11 $2,328 +$1,672 +72%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 11 $2,520 +$1,480 +59%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5) Jun 11 $4,400 +$3,592 +82%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $74 −$73 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2,030 +$1,970 +97%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $10,187 −$3,163 -31%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 11 $2,481 −$2,480 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $515 +$355 +69%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) Jun 10 $2,469 +$1,531 +62%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $506 −$506 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 10 $1,063 −$1,063 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 10 $2,200 −$2,200 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $2,217 −$2,217 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 10 $1,918 −$1,918 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5) Jun 10 $6,771 −$6,770 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $2,077 −$2,077 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $412 −$81 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$70,905
other 0% −$520
crypto 0% +$339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $18 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $12 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $8 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $5 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $3 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $4 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $7 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $18 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $3 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $7 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $6 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $3 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $2 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $7 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $4 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $5 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $3 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $3 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $7 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $2 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) SELL PortlandFire 20¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 +1.0% -8.6% 49% 45% -17.3%
≤30d 113 +1.0% -8.6% 49% 45% -17.3%
≤90d 113 +1.0% -8.6% 49% 45% -17.3%
all 113 +1.0% -8.6% 49% 45% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover777.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 45% -17.3%
10% -17.3% 43% -25.3%
15% ← realistic here -25.3% 40% -32.5%
20% -32.6% 35% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,283.97 · official $6,283.98 (match) · 3500 history records