trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 28 | -6.8% | -15.6% | 39% | 36% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 40% | 37% | -4.9% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 40% | 37% | -4.9% |
| all | 30 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 40% | 37% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 37% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 33% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 33% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 27% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+29%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 55¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51¢ | 50¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | France | 40¢ | 40¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | No | 33¢ | 32¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Under | 51¢ | 50¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 22¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Saudi Arabia | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | +$5 | +94% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$5 | +226% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $2 | +$2 | +101% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +57% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $48 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$15 | +291% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | +$3 | +294% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $74 | −$2 | -3% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $54 | −$2 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $52 | −$6 | -12% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $61 | +$14 | +22% |