Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7613…4743
crypto · 393 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$481 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$574 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$574
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses221 / 171
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)392 / 393
History coverage324d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$72
14 days−$72
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 42¢ 66¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+58%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$27 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$5 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -42%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 22 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 17 $20 +$8 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 17 $21 +$11 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 17 $21 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 17 $20 +$7 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 17 $20 +$5 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 17 $20 +$5 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 17 $20 +$6 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 17 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 17 $20 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 17 $20 +$4 +21%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 17 $21 +$11 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET May 17 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 17 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 17 $20 +$5 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 16 $21 +$11 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 16 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 16 $20 −$20 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 16 $21 +$16 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 43% −$352
world 23% −$205
tech 11% +$275
other 10% −$303
politics 10% +$72
culture 2% −$80
finance 1% +$49
economics 0% −$20
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -18.1% -25.9% 59% 56% -38.8%
≤30d 91 -7.4% -16.2% 66% 65% -18.7%
≤90d 378 -18.5% -26.2% 55% 36% -56.4%
all 392 -13.8% -22.0% 56% 38% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 38% -20.7%
10% -29.5% 30% -28.3%
15% -36.3% 21% -35.2%
20% -42.6% 14% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.83 · official $15.83 (match) · 1042 history records