trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 80% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -7.0% | -15.8% | 36% | 0% | -10.4% |
| all | 18 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 39% | 11% | +43.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 11% | +43.1% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 11% | +29.4% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 11% | +16.9% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 11% | +5.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 30 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 25? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 25? | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 24? | May 25 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 14 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 11 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e | Apr 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 01 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 22 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 15 | $169 | +$192 | +113% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 12 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-03-09? | Mar 11 | $5 | +$4 | +67% |