Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:28:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

76
0x7609…4094
other · 533 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$580 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$545 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$545
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses293 / 236
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions4
Markets (closed)529 / 533
History coverage97d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 4 History 529 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$34
14 days−$47
30 days−$234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 33¢ 1¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-97%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Iraq? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Yes 72¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score Yes 79¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Yes 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions Zhejiang Lions 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$17 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$22 +146%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $7 +$4 +57%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $4 +$6 +146%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +40%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $35 −$35 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $15 +$9 +62%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $15 +$3 +18%
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $15 −$15 -99%
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $38 +$15 +40%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $15 +$14 +90%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $7 +$2 +32%
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $20 +$9 +44%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 +$5 +46%
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $15 +$8 +52%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 06 $35 −$10 -28%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $26 +$9 +36%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 04 $12 +$3 +27%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $36 −$36 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $25 +$4 +14%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Iraq? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $12 +$7 +59%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Spain leading at halftime? Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $15 +$3 +20%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $50 +$15 +30%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $25 +$25 +98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $25 −$25 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $22 +$21 +96%
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $18 −$18 -99%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $15 −$15 -99%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $15 −$15 -98%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $15 −$15 -99%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $17 +$4 +21%
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $10 +$9 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$481
sports 21% −$89
crypto 2% +$70
world 1% −$66
politics 0% −$19
culture 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 57m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $5 57m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 58m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $26 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $20 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $9 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $15 35h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $15 35h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $25 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $15 2d
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY Yes 40¢ $4 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $7 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 2d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 71¢ $20 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $15 3d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 4d
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 4d
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 26¢ $3 4d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 56¢ $35 4d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 84¢ $15 5d
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $15 5d
Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $15 5d
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 82¢ $23 5d
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 5d
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $4 6d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $7 6d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $15 6d
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -8.1% -16.8% 56% 56% -17.6%
≤30d 134 -17.6% -25.4% 57% 49% -13.6%
≤90d 496 -15.4% -23.5% 55% 49% -11.9%
all 529 -10.4% -19.0% 55% 49% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 49% -11.0%
10% -26.7% 37% -19.5%
15% -33.8% 31% -27.3%
20% -40.3% 21% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.96 · official $33.96 (match) · 1252 history records