Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:15:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
76 0x7601…91e9 crypto 12 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$58 (-5%) realized −$58 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%6W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$88per market
Trades / day47.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -16.2% -24.2% 50% 50% -22.1%
≤30d 12 -16.2% -24.2% 50% 50% -22.1%
≤90d 12 -16.2% -24.2% 50% 50% -22.1%
all 12 -16.2% -24.2% 50% 50% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 50% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 25% -29.6%
15% -38.1% 17% -36.4%
20% -44.1% 17% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 55% · top 2 75% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$52 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 26 $53 −$50 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $41 +$21 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $42 −$15 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $42 −$2 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 26 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $42 +$9 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $63 +$33 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2PM ET Jun 26 $353 −$149 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12PM ET Jun 26 $51 −$51 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1PM ET Jun 26 $258 +$90 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$4 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12PM ET Jun 26 $51 +$7 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $21 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $5 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $21 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $22 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $8 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $21 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $31 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $37 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $38 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $43 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $37 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $109 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $42 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 51 history records