Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:57:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75fc…0a4c
crypto · 1857 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$27,320 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34,540 · open −$141
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$34,540
Unrealized−$141
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses581 / 631
Est. fees paid−$91
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1212 / 1857
History coverage23d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day143.8
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,075
7 days+$6,309
14 days+$17,443
30 days+$34,540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Down 42¢ 8¢ $176 $36 −$141 (-80%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 24¢ 16¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $272 $0 −$272 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$11 -146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $272 −$272 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $390 −$390 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $386 −$386 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $272 −$272 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$25 -102%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$86 +194%
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12? Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$47,381
sports 2% +$931
other 1% −$811
world 1% +$195
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $183 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $183 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $94 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $295 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $69 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $162 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $103 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $193 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $304 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $143 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $190 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $123 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $196 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $68 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $123 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $255 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $125 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $769 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $96 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $91 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $309 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $75 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $162 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $95 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $38 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $95 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 534 +7.6% -2.6% 42% 42% +1.6%
≤30d 1212 +29.3% +17.0% 48% 48% +15.6%
≤90d 1212 +29.3% +17.0% 48% 48% +15.6%
all 1212 +29.3% +17.0% 48% 48% +15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.0% 48% +15.6%
10% ← realistic here +5.8% 46% +4.6%
15% -4.5% 45% -5.5%
20% -13.8% 44% -14.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.95 · official $35.95 (match) · 3500 history records