Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:51:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75f0…2b66
sports · 144 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$9,022 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,866 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$8,866
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses102 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$869
Open positions3
Markets (closed)145 / 144
History coverage18d
Avg bet$1,022
Trades / day192.9
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,439
7 days+$3,460
14 days+$8,479
30 days+$8,866
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-95%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Curaçao 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-30? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Over 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27? No 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Under 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5 Over 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $1,879 +$173 +9%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $3,492 +$1,345 +38%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $2,678 +$171 +6%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $1,306 −$340 -26%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 +$169 +166%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,553 +$106 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $447 −$5 -1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,460 +$76 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6,683 +$73 +1%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $643 +$101 +16%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,531 +$12 +1%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4,002 +$34 +1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10,730 +$177 +2%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,166 +$105 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1,883 +$49 +3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $12 +$2 +20%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,247 −$138 -11%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $907 +$1 +0%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7,100 −$350 -5%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $399 +$130 +33%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $400 +$45 +11%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $117 +$18 +16%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$197 +97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $730 +$95 +13%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $396 +$16 +4%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $425 +$63 +15%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5,018 +$112 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $126 −$100 -80%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $230 −$131 -57%
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Honduras end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $881 −$84 -10%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,458 −$295 -20%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $5,029 +$367 +7%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $207 −$158 -76%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1,705 +$253 +15%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9,915 +$218 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $48 +$1 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,409 +$44 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $652 +$19 +3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8,413 +$62 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,276 +$66 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% +$5,907
sports 28% +$2,955
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 94¢ $32 58m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 94¢ $18 58m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 94¢ $12 58m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 94¢ $17 58m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 94¢ $21 58m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Germany 56¢ $437 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $0 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $230 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 39¢ $14 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 64¢ $500 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 42¢ $1 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 42¢ $3 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao 42¢ $326 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 35¢ $14 1h
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 35¢ $487 1h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 99¢ $89 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 59¢ $31 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 59¢ $18 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 59¢ $0 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 36¢ $35 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $19 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $41 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $15 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $0 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 38¢ $8 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 60¢ $15 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 62¢ $200 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 37¢ $199 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Germany 61¢ $22 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Curaçao 11¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+37.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +58.2% +43.2% 70% 28% -6.5%
≤30d 145 +51.8% +37.3% 70% 34% -3.8%
≤90d 145 +51.8% +37.3% 70% 34% -3.8%
all 145 +51.8% +37.3% 70% 34% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +37.3% 34% -3.8%
10% +24.2% 21% -13.0%
15% ← realistic here +12.2% 17% -21.4%
20% +1.2% 12% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.68 · official $2.68 (match) · 3500 history records