Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:36:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75d9…249c
crypto · 1189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$446 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$446 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$446
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses775 / 449
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1224 / 1189
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day84.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$119
14 days−$230
30 days−$331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$338
sports 2% −$22
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -28.5% -35.3% 55% 42% -33.2%
≤30d 582 -18.8% -26.5% 62% 42% -24.4%
≤90d 1224 -17.8% -25.7% 63% 40% -23.4%
all 1224 -17.8% -25.7% 63% 40% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.7% 40% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 22% -30.7%
15% -39.3% 11% -37.4%
20% -45.2% 6% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records