Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75d8…414f
sports · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$76 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses19 / 6
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage3d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$86
14 days−$86
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 40¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 74¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 45¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $20 +$2 +8%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 +$9 +95%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 +$8 +30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 −$100 -99%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$9 +78%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $81 +$49 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $84 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $47 +$63 +132%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $14 +$1 +11%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $9 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $258 −$249 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $149 +$114 +77%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $138 +$7 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $56 +$10 +17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$2 +8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 $0 -1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $22 +$3 +13%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $20 +$2 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$86
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 33¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 28¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner SELL illwill 69¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 66¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $18 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Marsborne 70¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Marsborne 73¢ $12 10h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 57¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 26¢ $0 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 84¢ $14 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 58¢ $10 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 59¢ $10 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 43¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 38¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 31¢ $7 13h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 74¢ $100 17h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $21 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $22 18h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 55¢ $12 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $12 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $12 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $12 25h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $10 25h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 45¢ $10 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $130 37h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $81 37h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $83 37h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 99¢ $84 37h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $7 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +11.3% +0.7% 76% 60% -16.1%
≤30d 25 +11.3% +0.7% 76% 60% -16.1%
≤90d 25 +11.3% +0.7% 76% 60% -16.1%
all 25 +11.3% +0.7% 76% 60% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 60% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.0% 32% -24.1%
15% -17.8% 24% -31.4%
20% -25.8% 24% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records