Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:21:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x75d7…eca3 crypto 1789 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (177 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$109 (+1%) realized −$1,472 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate92%1715W / 140L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day177.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$56now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,230
7 days−$1,293
14 days−$1,472
30 days−$1,472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$234
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (177 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1119 -5.9% -14.8% 91% 4% -20.9%
≤30d 1855 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 5% -15.4%
≤90d 1855 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 5% -15.4%
all 1855 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 5% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover177.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 5% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 1% -23.5%
15% -29.0% 0% -30.9%
20% -36.0% 0% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$17 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$56
Realized−$1,472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1715 / 140
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1855 / 1789
History coverage10d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day177.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1855 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.88 · official $55.12 (match) · 3500 history records