Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:27:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75d6…9ee0
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses40 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage579d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Apr 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Biden resign before inauguration? Apr 16 $4 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$24
politics 1% $0
tech 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -3.3% -12.5% 79% 40% -12.6%
≤30d 48 -3.3% -12.5% 79% 40% -12.6%
≤90d 50 -5.0% -14.1% 78% 38% -12.8%
all 52 -6.7% -15.6% 77% 37% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 37% -13.2%
10% -23.6% 27% -21.6%
15% -31.0% 15% -29.1%
20% -37.8% 8% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 146 history records