trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 17% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 9% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 9% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 27 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 37% | 7% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 7% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $30 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $66 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $21 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 24 | $13 | +$3 | +19% |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 18 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | May 17 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | May 17 | $15 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 10 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of EPL? | Apr 09 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? | Apr 03 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $6 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Brad Garlinghouse attend the March 7 Crypto Summit? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +1% |