Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:41:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x75d0…a9cc crypto 62 markets active 5d ago coverage 133d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate42%26W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day1.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -8.4% -17.1% 45% 32% -18.2%
≤30d 22 -8.4% -17.1% 45% 32% -18.2%
≤90d 29 -27.3% -34.2% 34% 24% -52.5%
all 62 -12.6% -20.9% 42% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 35% -10.4%
10% -28.5% 26% -19.0%
15% -35.4% 21% -26.8%
20% -41.7% 19% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 53% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -48% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$10 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

133d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses26 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage133d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Apr 28 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Mar 19 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 19 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Mar 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET Mar 18 $5 +$7 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 18 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 16 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 13 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 12 $30 +$30 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 06 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 05 $111 +$111 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 04 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 04 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 04 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Mar 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Mar 04 $25 +$75 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 27 $20 +$15 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 26 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 24 $7 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 23 $16 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records