trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 50% | 50% | -13.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 40% | 40% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 40% | 40% | -11.9% |
| all | 33 | -19.6% | -27.3% | 42% | 39% | -24.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.3% | 39% | -24.8% |
| 10% | -34.2% | 33% | -32.0% |
| 15% | -40.6% | 27% | -38.6% |
| 20% | -46.4% | 24% | -44.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $70 | $72 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $41 | +$30 | +75% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $71 | −$69 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$5 | -8% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 23 | $184 | −$1 | -0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 26 | $10 | −$7 | -71% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Feb 16 | $50 | −$14 | -28% |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Feb 16 | $50 | +$32 | +64% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Dec 22 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | Dec 22 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Usyk beat Fury? | Dec 22 | $99 | +$81 | +82% |
| Will the match be a draw? | Jul 09 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Will France win? | Jul 08 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will England win? | Jul 08 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will England win? | Jul 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win? | Jul 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Italy win? | Jul 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win? | Jul 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will England Win? | Jul 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2023-24 Champions League? | Jul 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the match be a Draw? | Jul 07 | $10 | +$21 | +212% |
| Will the Netherlands win? | Jul 07 | $13 | +$7 | +59% |
| Will the Netherlands win? | Jul 05 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |
| Will Austria win? | Jul 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will France win? | Jul 02 | $20 | +$19 | +96% |
| Will Spain Win? | Jul 01 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Germany Win? | Jun 30 | $50 | +$32 | +64% |
| Will Portugal win? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$12 | +61% |
| Will Belgium win Group E? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$18 | -92% |
| Will Germany win? | Jun 20 | $48 | +$11 | +24% |
| Will England win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final | Jun 01 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | Jun 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |