Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75bd…0288
other · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,864 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,017 · open +$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,604
Realized+$1,017
Unrealized+$69
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses169 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$1,689
Open positions3
Markets (closed)303 / 303
History coverage32d
Avg bet$958
Trades / day108.9
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 3 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,072
7 days−$3,799
14 days−$1,420
30 days−$4,631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 85¢ 86¢ $10,330 $10,449 +$119 (+1%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $201 $151 −$50 (-25%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 36¢ 0¢ $493 $0 −$493 (-100%)
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? No 5¢ 0¢ $338 $0 −$338 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 Winner ex-HEROIC 49¢ 0¢ $338 $0 −$338 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 45¢ 0¢ $918 $0 −$918 (-100%)
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 49¢ 0¢ $1,010 $0 −$1,010 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 36¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 Winner Estar Backs 39¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Team Spirit 20¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 50¢ 0¢ $996 $0 −$996 (-100%)
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 4 Winner Estar Backs 47¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Tundra Esports 54¢ 0¢ $1,932 $0 −$1,932 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 45¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? No 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-31? No 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 30¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 41¢ 0¢ $497 $0 −$497 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 Winner KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 63¢ 0¢ $995 $0 −$995 (-100%)
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 46¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $212 −$199 -94%
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1,089 −$1,085 -100%
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $357 −$365 -102%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,015 +$983 +97%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 −$24 -12%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 −$29 -14%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 −$34 -16%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $208 −$23 -11%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 +$4 +2%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $208 −$12 -6%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 +$10 +5%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $216 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $207 +$21 +10%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $236 +$98 +42%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5,983 +$143 +2%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,000 +$469 +47%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,017 −$1,010 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $992 −$982 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,050 −$1,039 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $58 +$6 +11%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $103 +$2 +2%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1,547 +$36 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,016 +$460 +45%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,517 +$874 +58%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,020 −$1,000 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $934 −$918 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2,861 +$1,628 +57%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $387 −$88 -23%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,014 +$654 +64%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,006 +$52 +5%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $985 +$734 +75%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $2,657 −$1,630 -61%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,011 −$996 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,013 +$710 +70%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,002 +$18 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,014 +$836 +82%
Will FC Imabari win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $687 +$312 +46%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1,009 +$40 +4%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1,016 +$717 +70%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2,060 −$1,070 -52%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2,062 +$71 +4%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1,001 −$1,000 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $2,033 −$537 -26%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,208 −$195 -16%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3,982 +$857 +22%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,547 −$1,319 -37%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $49 +$16 +32%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1,090 +$46 +4%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,007 −$1,000 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% +$7,070
sports 36% −$4,887
politics 4% +$119
world 1% +$431
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 11m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,998 58m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $1,015 2h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $177 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $69 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $23 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $12 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $14 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1,400 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -10.0% -18.6% 55% 34% -16.1%
≤30d 287 +7.7% -2.5% 54% 32% -11.1%
≤90d 303 +8.4% -1.9% 56% 34% -9.2%
all 303 +8.4% -1.9% 56% 34% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 34% -9.2%
10% -11.3% 23% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -19.9% 20% -25.9%
20% -27.7% 16% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,603.81 · official $10,603.81 (match) · 3500 history records