Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x75a8…d6f1
crypto · 16 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$24 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses10 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$33 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$35 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $13 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $3 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +19.2% +7.8% 62% 56% +0.5%
≤30d 16 +19.2% +7.8% 62% 56% +0.5%
≤90d 16 +19.2% +7.8% 62% 56% +0.5%
all 16 +19.2% +7.8% 62% 56% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.8% 56% +0.5%
10% -2.5% 56% -9.1%
15% -11.9% 44% -17.9%
20% -20.6% 44% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records