Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:28:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7590…e579
other · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses8 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)14 / 22
History coverage13d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 8 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$4
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +41%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Jun 07 $2 $0 -5%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $5 +$2 +30%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $12 +$3 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 94% −$20
sports 4% $0
crypto 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 58m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 68¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $3 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 29h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 32h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $2 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 4d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 6d
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco SELL Yes 50¢ $2 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 6d
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -2.0% -11.4% 50% 50% -17.6%
≤30d 14 +2.4% -7.3% 57% 57% -8.5%
≤90d 14 +2.4% -7.3% 57% 57% -8.5%
all 14 +2.4% -7.3% 57% 57% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 57% -8.5%
10% -16.2% 50% -17.3%
15% -24.3% 36% -25.3%
20% -31.7% 21% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.22 · official $58.22 (match) · 48 history records