Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x758f…dfb7
sports · 389 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$1,762 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,579 · open +$183
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,108
Realized+$1,579
Unrealized+$183
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses276 / 112
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$879
Open positions1
Markets (closed)388 / 389
History coverage277d
Avg bet$425
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$335
7 days−$2,353
14 days−$1,123
30 days+$1,396
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No 82¢ 98¢ $924 $1,108 +$183 (+20%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Yellow Submarine 74¢ 0¢ $303 $0 −$303 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,007 +$202 +20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $303 −$95 -31%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,004 −$569 -28%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $303 +$126 +42%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $303 −$303 -100%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $202 +$21 +10%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 08 $403 −$60 -15%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 08 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $202 −$202 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $202 −$202 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 08 $440 −$164 -37%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $312 −$312 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $404 −$404 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $204 −$204 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $405 −$405 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $507 −$507 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $202 +$106 +52%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $806 +$2 +0%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $303 +$115 +38%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $302 +$98 +32%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $102 +$136 +134%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $401 +$45 +11%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $504 +$205 +41%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $303 +$120 +40%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $708 +$233 +33%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3,716 +$416 +11%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $505 +$241 +48%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $406 −$383 -94%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $204 +$126 +62%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $204 +$96 +47%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $504 +$173 +34%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $1,007 +$313 +31%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $503 +$113 +22%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $102 −$99 -97%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier May 30 $503 +$122 +24%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $404 +$199 +49%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $404 +$211 +52%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $303 +$114 +38%
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $402 +$80 +20%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $202 +$47 +24%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $202 +$137 +67%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $302 +$73 +24%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $302 +$90 +30%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $202 +$69 +34%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner May 23 $404 +$168 +42%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 23 $456 +$348 +76%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner May 23 $111 +$28 +25%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $209 +$166 +79%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $303 −$57 -19%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $608 +$464 +76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$343
other 9% +$776
politics 4% +$773
crypto 3% +$70
world 0% −$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 94¢ $1,209 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $604 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 50¢ $208 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $403 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $303 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 67¢ $1,436 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $1,002 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $1,003 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $303 2d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 74¢ $303 3d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Yellow Submarine 72¢ $223 3d
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 64¢ $202 3d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Yandex 65¢ $202 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 75¢ $101 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 81¢ $503 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Yandex 20¢ $60 5d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Yandex 66¢ $202 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 72¢ $303 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 75¢ $302 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 42¢ $102 6d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 90¢ $401 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL Aurora 70¢ $343 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Aurora 79¢ $403 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 73¢ $101 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 76¢ $101 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 68¢ $303 7d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Aurora 71¢ $303 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 63¢ $506 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL BetBoom Team 46¢ $147 7d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 62¢ $202 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -24.6% -31.8% 46% 38% -30.3%
≤30d 91 +5.6% -4.5% 71% 67% -6.6%
≤90d 271 -0.3% -9.8% 70% 61% -7.9%
all 388 +0.3% -9.3% 71% 62% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 62% -8.7%
10% -18.0% 46% -17.4%
15% -25.9% 26% -25.4%
20% -33.2% 15% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,107.54 · official $1,107.54 (match) · 1257 history records