Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x757f…0e76
crypto · 886 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,092 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,093 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$1,093
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses701 / 434
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1135 / 886
History coverage18d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day152.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$954
7 days−$943
14 days−$1,102
30 days−$1,093
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 62¢ 81¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$5 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$65
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 511 -45.7% -50.9% 41% 41% -28.9%
≤30d 1135 -18.9% -26.6% 62% 61% -18.2%
≤90d 1135 -18.9% -26.6% 62% 61% -18.2%
all 1135 -18.9% -26.6% 62% 61% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 61% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 30% -26.1%
15% -40.0% 6% -33.2%
20% -45.9% 0% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.06 · official $4.06 (match) · 3500 history records