Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:15:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x757b…a0e2
crypto · 1779 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$380 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$380 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1143 / 534
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1677 / 1779
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1677 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$763
7 days−$578
14 days−$409
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$433
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 861 -12.7% -21.0% 56% 53% -35.9%
≤30d 1677 +2.8% -7.0% 68% 63% -20.0%
≤90d 1677 +2.8% -7.0% 68% 63% -20.0%
all 1677 +2.8% -7.0% 68% 63% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 63% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 53% -27.7%
15% -24.0% 41% -34.7%
20% -31.5% 30% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records