Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7579…524a
sports · 1051 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open −$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$275
Realized+$55
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses542 / 478
Est. fees paid−$130
Open positions30
Markets (closed)1020 / 1051
History coverage50d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 30 History 1020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$91
14 days+$179
30 days+$192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 100¢ $15 $36 +$21 (+144%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 56¢ 80¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+42%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 65¢ 40¢ $30 $19 −$12 (-38%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 61¢ 64¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+4%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 44¢ $16 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 60¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-13%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+149%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 49¢ 50¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 90¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+70%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 55¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$2 (-17%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 61¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+64%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Under 19¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-13%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 86¢ 74¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 50¢ 40¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 14 $5 +$6 +104%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$11 +222%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $11 −$4 -34%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 −$2 -21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$9 +172%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $4 +$2 +52%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $5 +$14 +270%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $5 +$8 +156%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$6 +43%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$6 +118%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +138%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +138%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$10 +185%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$11 +72%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$6 +128%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $10 +$11 +101%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 +$7 +150%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $31 +$6 +20%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$5 +237%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 +$8 +84%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +69%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $6 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$76
other 4% −$18
weather 1% −$47
crypto 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 86¢ $5 15m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 19¢ $0 27m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 19¢ $5 27m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 25¢ $5 42m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 25¢ $5 42m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 53¢ $5 43m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 47m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 75¢ $4 49m
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 49m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $5 59m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 79¢ $5 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 52¢ $0 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 52¢ $5 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 49¢ $0 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 49¢ $5 1h
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 39¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $5 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 52¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 1h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $5 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ $5 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 25¢ $4 2h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY No 1¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 456 -3.7% -12.8% 51% 50% -7.3%
≤30d 889 +0.4% -9.2% 53% 52% -7.2%
≤90d 1020 -1.1% -10.5% 53% 50% -9.0%
all 1020 -1.1% -10.5% 53% 50% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 50% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 46% -17.7%
15% -26.9% 41% -25.7%
20% -34.1% 33% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $274.72 · official $272.83 (match) · 2669 history records