Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7559…65a6
world · 31 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$126 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses14 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage445d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$128
14 days+$128
30 days+$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 14 $160 +$1 +1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $148 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $128 +$6 +5%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $153 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 11 $151 +$2 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $38 +$8 +21%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $144 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +44%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $18 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 08 $4 $0 -2%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $73 +$109 +149%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $49 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 06 $45 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $2 $0 -6%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 05 $49 $0 +0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 16 $2 $0 -3%
Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? Dec 14 $2 $0 +2%
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Jun 27 $9 $0 -1%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? Jun 06 $1 $0 -19%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 06 $11 −$1 -8%
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of EPL? May 07 $0 $0 -100%
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? Apr 25 $2 $0 +1%
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? Apr 21 $9 $0 +1%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days? Apr 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? Apr 17 $11 $0 -0%
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? Apr 16 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy? Mar 29 $15 −$1 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28? Mar 27 $14 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 90% +$128
politics 4% −$1
tech 2% $0
finance 1% $0
other 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $7 1h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 5h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 77¢ $55 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 77¢ $63 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 77¢ $29 12h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 77¢ $8 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 77¢ $37 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 77¢ $37 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 77¢ $37 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 77¢ $29 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 84¢ $67 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 84¢ $67 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 80¢ $128 19h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $6 21h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $73 21h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $39 23h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $37 23h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $154 26h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $5 27h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $9 27h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $13 31h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $74 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $6 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $41 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $31 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $1 44h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $30 2d
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $38 2d
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $85 2d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL No 71¢ $54 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +18.7% +7.4% 67% 25% +1.7%
≤30d 16 +13.6% +2.8% 56% 19% +0.3%
≤90d 16 +13.6% +2.8% 56% 19% +0.3%
all 31 +2.9% -6.9% 45% 10% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 10% -0.6%
10% -15.8% 6% -10.1%
15% -24.0% 6% -18.8%
20% -31.4% 3% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 121 history records