Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7554…748a
crypto · 121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$169 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses64 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage99d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$99
7 days+$84
14 days+$62
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$27 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$15 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$22 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$15 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $140 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$11 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$10 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$34 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$15 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$68
other 15% +$29
culture 0% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -1.8% -11.2% 55% 37% -4.8%
≤30d 120 -6.2% -15.2% 52% 40% -5.2%
≤90d 121 -6.1% -15.0% 53% 40% -5.2%
all 121 -6.1% -15.0% 53% 40% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 40% -5.2%
10% -23.2% 31% -14.3%
15% -30.6% 22% -22.5%
20% -37.4% 17% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 666 history records