Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7549…fd37
crypto · 1482 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$352 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$352 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses953 / 644
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1597 / 1482
History coverage10d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day237.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1597 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$595
7 days−$443
14 days−$352
30 days−$352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$305
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1099 -15.4% -23.5% 52% 52% -29.8%
≤30d 1597 -7.6% -16.4% 60% 59% -18.7%
≤90d 1597 -7.6% -16.4% 60% 59% -18.7%
all 1597 -7.6% -16.4% 60% 59% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover237.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 59% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 53% -26.5%
15% -31.7% 37% -33.6%
20% -38.4% 19% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records