Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7540…13a5
crypto · 91 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$20 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses49 / 42
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage65d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 06 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 24 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Apr 24 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Apr 24 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 24 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 24 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 24 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 23 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$12
sports 10% −$3
other 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -17.5% -25.4% 53% 24% -23.3%
≤30d 35 -12.2% -20.6% 54% 37% -22.9%
≤90d 91 -13.4% -21.6% 54% 37% -23.6%
all 91 -13.4% -21.6% 54% 37% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 37% -23.6%
10% -29.1% 29% -30.9%
15% -36.0% 23% -37.6%
20% -42.3% 14% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 212 history records