Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T12:42:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x7536…57d6 crypto 510 markets active 11d ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (336 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,824 (-16%) realized −$1,824 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -42% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -55% what you keep after slip
Net edge-55%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate29%210W / 516L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day336.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,327
7 days−$3,327
14 days−$3,676
30 days−$3,723
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$396
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (336 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-47.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -91.9% -92.7% 1% 1% -97.6%
≤30d 726 -41.9% -47.4% 29% 28% -34.5%
≤90d 726 -41.9% -47.4% 29% 28% -34.5%
all 726 -41.9% -47.4% 29% 28% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover336.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.4% 28% -34.5%
10% ← realistic here -52.4% 25% -40.8%
15% -57.0% 23% -46.5%
20% -61.3% 20% -51.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -42% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -72% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$15 · ×1.28 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,824
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses210 / 516
Open positions0
Markets (closed)726 / 510
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day336.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 726 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 28 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 28 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 28 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 28 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records