Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:22:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7536…ba17
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$139 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$499
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$164
7 days+$164
14 days+$164
30 days+$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $655 −$53 -8%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $1,011 −$53 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $203 +$62 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $125 +$208 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$106
crypto 16% +$270
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +45.8% +31.9% 50% 50% -2.1%
≤30d 4 +45.8% +31.9% 50% 50% -2.1%
≤90d 4 +45.8% +31.9% 50% 50% -2.1%
all 4 +45.8% +31.9% 50% 50% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +31.9% 50% -2.1%
10% +19.3% 50% -11.4%
15% +7.8% 25% -20.0%
20% -2.8% 25% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records