Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7534…8c4d
crypto · 601 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$22 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses472 / 129
Open positions0
Markets (closed)601 / 601
History coverage483d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 601 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$23
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 599 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 47% -11.8%
≤30d 599 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 47% -11.8%
≤90d 599 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 47% -11.8%
all 601 -1.4% -10.8% 79% 46% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 46% -11.8%
10% -19.3% 20% -20.2%
15% -27.1% 8% -27.9%
20% -34.3% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1564 history records