Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x751d…4272
crypto · 167 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$499 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$685 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$685
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses75 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage4d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day73.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$685
14 days−$685
30 days−$685
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$19 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$24 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$22 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$13 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$6 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$685
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $15 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $23 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -13.9% -22.1% 45% 41% -20.0%
≤30d 167 -13.9% -22.1% 45% 41% -20.0%
≤90d 167 -13.9% -22.1% 45% 41% -20.0%
all 167 -13.9% -22.1% 45% 41% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 41% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 37% -27.7%
15% -36.4% 32% -34.7%
20% -42.6% 25% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 436 history records