Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T03:23:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x751a…9ea1 tech 146 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1444 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$922,371 (+55%) realized +$922,363 · open +$8
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate100%141W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$11,586per market
Trades / day1444.0pace
Fees−$38est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$7,844now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 73% +$36,809
world 20% +$565
crypto 6% +$1,748
other 1% +$62
tech 0% +$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1444 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 4% -7.4%
≤30d 141 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 4% -7.4%
≤90d 141 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 4% -7.4%
all 141 +12.1% +1.4% 100% 4% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1444.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.4% 4% -7.4%
10% -8.3% 2% -16.3%
15% ← realistic here -17.2% 1% -24.4%
20% -25.3% 1% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 91% · top 2 92% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +23% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
17.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$279 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$7,844
Realized+$922,363
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses141 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions11
Markets (closed)141 / 146
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$11,586
Trades / day1444.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 11 History 141 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 93¢ 99¢ $4,912 $5,241 +$329 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 88¢ 97¢ $879 $972 +$94 (+11%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 91¢ 96¢ $887 $932 +$45 (+5%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $335 $336 +$1 (+0%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 65¢ 18¢ $582 $165 −$417 (-72%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $78 $78 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? No 96¢ 97¢ $49 $49 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ 28¢ $87 $42 −$45 (-51%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? No 97¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $9,337 +$311 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 19? Jun 20 $146 +$3 +2%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 20 $297 +$3 +1%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 20 $338,227 +$339 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 19? Jun 20 $110 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 20 $549,450 +$550 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 15-21? Jun 20 $1,164 +$24 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $99,900 +$100 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 19? Jun 19 $38 +$1 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 19? Jun 19 $360 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $50,254 +$50 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 19? Jun 19 $222 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 19? Jun 19 $208 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 19? Jun 19 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $740 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $519 +$5 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $35 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $4,325 +$44 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $4,113 +$256 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $398 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET Jun 19 $912 +$20 +2%
HYPE Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET Jun 19 $35 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 18? Jun 19 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $4,325 +$44 +1%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 18, 8PM ET? Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 18? Jun 18 $747 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $4,325 +$44 +1%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5 Jun 18 $190 +$2 +1%
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of th Jun 18 $36 +$1 +2%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of Jun 18 $492 +$8 +2%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $400? Jun 18 $433 +$67 +15%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 15 above $4.50? Jun 18 $79 +$1 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of t Jun 18 $318 +$4 +1%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $128-$130 on the final day of trading of Jun 18 $87 +$1 +1%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of th Jun 18 $154 +$2 +2%
Will Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of t Jun 18 $48 $0 +1%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 15 above $285? Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $395? Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of June 15 above $375? Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of th Jun 18 $59 +$1 +1%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading o Jun 18 $305 +$6 +2%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 15 above $70? Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 15 above $215? Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Will Meta (META) close at $580-$590 on the final day of trading of the Jun 18 $129 +$1 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 15 above $210? Jun 18 $54 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 18? Jun 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? SELL No 99¢ $84 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? SELL No 100¢ $114 32m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $124 36m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $1,284 39m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $98 39m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $737 39m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $1,330 41m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 19? SELL No 99¢ $99 49m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $1 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $1 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $4 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? SELL No 99¢ $5 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $2 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? SELL No 99¢ $2 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $1 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? SELL No 99¢ $1 52m
Will Solana dip to $60 June 15-21? BUY No 96¢ $0 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,844.02 · official $7,843.66 (match) · 3500 history records