trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 26% | 22% | +28.7% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 26% | 22% | +28.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 26% | 22% | +28.7% |
| all | 27 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 26% | 22% | +28.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.6% | 22% | +28.7% |
| 10% | -13.7% | 22% | +16.4% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 22% | +5.1% |
| 20% | -29.7% | 19% | -5.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Yes | 56¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-56%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 16¢ | 1¢ | $86 | $4 | −$82 (-96%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $0 | −$35 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$47 | +307% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$50 | +325% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $46 | +$513 | +1109% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$45 | +221% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? | Jun 12 | $12 | −$11 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$7 | +140% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |