Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:07:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7510…eb8c
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses34 / 45
Open positions3
Markets (closed)79 / 82
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day109.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days−$67
14 days−$67
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 44¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$72
other 7% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-37.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -31.2% -37.8% 43% 34% -34.8%
≤30d 79 -31.2% -37.8% 43% 34% -34.8%
≤90d 79 -31.2% -37.8% 43% 34% -34.8%
all 79 -31.2% -37.8% 43% 34% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.8% 34% -34.8%
10% ← realistic here -43.7% 30% -41.1%
15% -49.2% 22% -46.8%
20% -54.1% 15% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.95 · official $5.75 (match) · 175 history records