Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x750c…d430
sports · 656 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,735 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,010 · open −$707
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$518
Realized−$6,010
Unrealized−$707
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses425 / 220
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$2,096
Open positions5
Markets (closed)645 / 656
History coverage107d
Avg bet$670
Trades / day24.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 645 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$662
7 days+$4,135
14 days+$2,536
30 days+$2,456
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $460 $457 −$3 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $45 $45 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 33¢ 34¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+5%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $574 $0 −$574 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 53¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 20¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Nongshim Red Force 50¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 55¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 25¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playoffs OG 29¢ $322 $0 −$322 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 58¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 70¢ $242 $0 −$242 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 56¢ $621 $0 −$621 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Top Esports 59¢ $1,700 $0 −$1,700 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) KT Rolster 38¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 70¢ $506 $0 −$506 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Knicks 62¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Kings vs. Raptors Raptors 89¢ $5,869 $0 −$5,869 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 45¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 71¢ $441 $0 −$441 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 40¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Valorant: Murash vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2 Murash 86¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 28¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A BNK FEARX 26¢ $439 $0 −$439 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3,027 +$249 +8%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $22 −$21 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$26 +25%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 13 $73 −$3 -4%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $130 −$5 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $179 +$198 +110%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $250 +$77 +31%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $48 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $85 +$37 +43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $101 −$95 -94%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $83 +$80 +97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $124 −$117 -94%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $210 +$90 +43%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $134 +$98 +73%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $283 +$117 +41%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,021 +$503 +25%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 −$1 -14%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $202 +$49 +24%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $121 +$79 +65%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $64 +$59 +93%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $108 +$37 +35%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $358 +$141 +40%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $58 −$20 -35%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $54 −$30 -56%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 11 $70 −$45 -65%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $76 −$58 -76%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $90 +$79 +87%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 10 $41 −$1 -3%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 09 $67 +$33 +49%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 09 $104 +$57 +55%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 09 $132 +$31 +24%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 09 $14 +$5 +33%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 09 $140 +$91 +65%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 09 $349 +$96 +27%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 09 $85 +$15 +18%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 09 $182 +$18 +10%
Spread: Spurs (-19.5) Jun 09 $466 +$34 +7%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $199 −$129 -65%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 08 $62 −$62 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $23 +$48 +206%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $36 +$22 +60%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $80 +$20 +25%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $84 +$73 +87%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $63 +$1 +1%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $203 +$233 +115%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $73 −$72 -98%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 07 $49 +$47 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$7,618
other 1% +$921
crypto 0% −$4
world 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $15 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $462 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $31 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $2,358 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $63 4h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $13 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $301 5h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $12 7h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) BUY KT Rolster 22¢ $3 7h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 28¢ $5 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $21 7h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $40 7h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $101 7h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 51¢ $21 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $126 7h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 41¢ $17 8h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $319 9h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $68 9h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $23 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $802 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 58¢ $64 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $435 10h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) SELL Spurs 59¢ $70 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $125 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $20 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $377 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $240 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $5 17h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $125 17h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 60¢ $73 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +14.4% +3.5% 65% 58% +14.8%
≤30d 205 -1.4% -10.8% 62% 54% -7.1%
≤90d 597 -4.3% -13.4% 68% 49% -10.6%
all 645 -5.8% -14.8% 66% 48% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 48% -10.7%
10% -22.9% 33% -19.3%
15% ← realistic here -30.4% 21% -27.1%
20% -37.2% 14% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $518.49 · official $1,128.55 · 2701 history records