Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7505…2978
other · 116 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$7,341 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,277 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$132
Realized+$7,277
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses69 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
Avg bet$967
Trades / day39.7
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$156
7 days+$1,394
14 days+$1,446
30 days+$4,559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 28¢ 33¢ $109 $132 +$23 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $58 −$10 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $2,269 +$157 +7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $70 +$14 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $212 −$6 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $7,324 +$572 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $43 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,300 +$195 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $708 +$51 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $2,018 −$32 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $6,797 +$158 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $3,048 +$292 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 05 $4,419 −$19 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $8 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $647 +$100 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $4,260 +$367 +9%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $320 +$53 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $332 +$77 +23%
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $904 −$25 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? May 31 $30 +$8 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $779 +$281 +36%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $1,113 +$36 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $3,458 −$825 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $2,536 +$83 +3%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $1,922 +$79 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $6,136 +$1,038 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $723 +$139 +19%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $6,778 +$853 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $986 +$74 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $68 +$45 +66%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $3,068 +$116 +4%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 17 $33 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 16 $40 −$3 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $907 −$209 -23%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? May 16 $89 +$11 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $1,273 +$415 +33%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $281 +$56 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 14 $1,408 +$186 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 14 $1,046 +$228 +22%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? May 13 $1,639 +$160 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $0 $0 -17%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $3,222 +$129 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $181 +$9 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 12 $933 +$211 +23%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 11 $450 +$14 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 11 $99 +$20 +20%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $3,935 −$135 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $979 +$69 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? May 08 $2,109 −$76 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 06 $1,855 +$526 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$7,300
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $9 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $32 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 28¢ $14 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 72¢ $178 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 68¢ $173 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 36¢ $153 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 27¢ $14 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 26¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 27¢ $17 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 27¢ $8 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 26¢ $67 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 74¢ $12 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 74¢ $97 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 74¢ $110 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $23 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 78¢ $236 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $22 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $7 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $3 15h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 15h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 19h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 20h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 47¢ $9 20h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 44¢ $9 23h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $35 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 68¢ $34 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $35 25h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 43¢ $13 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +9.9% -0.5% 75% 25% -4.2%
≤30d 39 +11.1% +0.5% 79% 44% -3.4%
≤90d 115 +9.7% -0.8% 60% 31% -3.6%
all 115 +9.7% -0.8% 60% 31% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.8% 31% -3.6%
10% -10.3% 15% -12.8%
15% ← realistic here -19.0% 9% -21.3%
20% -26.9% 6% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $131.74 · official $131.74 (match) · 3200 history records