Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:28:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7504…9c69
world · 93 markets active 221d ago
0.0score
+$533,411 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$533,411 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$533,411
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses46 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 93
History coverage146d
Avg bet$71,699
Trades / day22.5
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,967
7 days−$2,967
14 days−$2,967
30 days−$2,967
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Yoon in jail before August? No 33¢ 0¢ $1,738 $0 −$1,738 (-100%)
Will Vietnam win the 2025 International Math Olympiad? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will United States win the 2025 International Math Olympiad? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $675 $0 −$675 (-100%)
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? No 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? No 58¢ 0¢ $20,768 $0 −$20,768 (-100%)
Will South Korea win the 2025 International Math Olympiad? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? No 24¢ 0¢ $769 $0 −$769 (-100%)
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before August? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1,046 $0 −$1,046 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jun 12 $424 −$424 -100%
US national XRP reserve in 2025? Nov 04 $270 −$212 -79%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? Nov 04 $52,645 +$27,239 +52%
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025 Nov 03 $134 +$33 +24%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? Oct 14 $19,158 +$13,420 +70%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 14 $204,819 +$61,293 +30%
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? Oct 14 $575 +$151 +26%
Will Andrew Yang join the America Party? Oct 14 $126 +$74 +59%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Oct 14 $527 +$91 +17%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 14 $93,750 +$10,612 +11%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August? Sep 08 $6,226 +$4,266 +68%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? Sep 08 $6 +$10 +186%
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July? Jul 08 $1,637 +$12 +1%
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? Jul 08 $2,436,547 +$74,906 +3%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? Jul 05 $226 +$220 +97%
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? Jul 05 $43,685 −$24,936 -57%
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? Jul 05 $20,286 +$14,444 +71%
Yoon in jail before August? Jul 05 $1,738 −$1,738 -100%
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? Jul 05 $20,771 −$20,768 -100%
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? Jul 05 $7,242 −$6,539 -90%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? Jul 05 $10,816 +$1,616 +15%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks? Jul 05 $20,728 +$2,194 +11%
Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iow Jul 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech? Jul 04 $209 −$209 -100%
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? Jul 04 $517,074 +$183,117 +35%
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3? Jul 03 $39 −$39 -100%
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4? Jul 03 $79 −$79 -100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Jul 03 $241,729 −$896 -0%
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July? Jul 02 $79 −$79 -100%
Will Trump apologize to Elon before July? Jul 02 $29,412 +$507 +2%
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July? Jul 01 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30? Jul 01 $968 −$891 -92%
Will Trump launch a blockchain before July? Jul 01 $5 $0 +1%
US-Iran nuclear deal before August? Jul 01 $1,046 −$1,046 -100%
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July? Jul 01 $552 −$285 -52%
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? Jul 01 $7 −$7 -100%
US-Iran nuclear deal before July? Jul 01 $3,298 −$1,351 -41%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? Jul 01 $491 +$1,694 +345%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July? Jul 01 $6,450 +$92 +1%
Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July? Jul 01 $9,610 +$95 +1%
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? Jul 01 $21,983 +$2,947 +13%
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June? Jul 01 $28,698 +$423 +2%
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30? Jul 01 $556 −$556 -100%
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? Jul 01 $557,001 −$7,864 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% +$116,096
world 32% −$31,082
politics 14% +$257,830
tech 8% +$187,379
crypto 4% +$22,364
economics 2% +$9,138
sports 0% −$25,439
culture 0% +$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 SELL Yes 85¢ $20 220d
US national XRP reserve in 2025? SELL Yes 3¢ $58 220d
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $52,920 220d
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025 SELL Yes 6¢ $17 221d
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? SELL No 86¢ $6,855 240d
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? SELL No 86¢ $300 240d
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? SELL No 86¢ $1,445 240d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $7,264 240d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 88¢ $15,816 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $1,000 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $12 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $392 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $14 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $3 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $235 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $47 241d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 88¢ $4 241d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 88¢ $4 241d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 88¢ $4 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $1 241d
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? SELL No 89¢ $357 241d
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? SELL No 94¢ $420 241d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 89¢ $10,568 241d
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 0¢ $46 241d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $9,970 241d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 87¢ $152,600 246d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 90¢ $43,475 251d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 90¢ $1,775 251d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 99¢ $2,367 269d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 99¢ $12 269d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 7 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 7 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 100 -24.6% -31.8% 46% 30% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 30% -2.3%
10% -38.3% 20% -11.6%
15% ← realistic here -44.3% 14% -20.2%
20% -49.8% 13% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records