Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:03:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74f2…ef06
crypto · 786 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$97 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$206 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses470 / 368
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)838 / 786
History coverage138d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$88
14 days−$89
30 days−$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 93¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 3AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -90%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$121
sports 1% −$2
tech 1% $0
other 0% −$2
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
finance 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -63.8% -67.3% 25% 15% -66.5%
≤30d 110 -57.5% -61.5% 31% 18% -60.5%
≤90d 183 -44.6% -49.9% 38% 22% -49.0%
all 838 -21.5% -29.0% 56% 26% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 26% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 11% -25.1%
15% -42.0% 6% -32.3%
20% -47.7% 3% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.70 · official $6.70 (match) · 3500 history records