trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 57% | 57% | +16.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 57% | 57% | +16.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 57% | 57% | +16.9% |
| all | 18 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 28% | 28% | -35.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 28% | -35.9% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 22% | -42.0% |
| 15% | -42.6% | 22% | -47.6% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 17% | -52.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-62%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $2 | +$2 | +81% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$7 | +134% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $9 | +$4 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 09 | $42 | −$12 | -28% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Feb 01 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Feb 01 | $89 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jan 18 | $33 | +$6 | +18% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 16 | $32 | −$20 | -62% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Jan 16 | $30 | −$9 | -30% |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Jan 13 | $33 | −$32 | -98% |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | Jan 13 | $15 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Jan 13 | $20 | −$3 | -13% |