trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | 9z | 49¢ | 48¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | MOUZ | 42¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | PARIVISION | 56¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | G2 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Legacy | 45¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -89% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Oct 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | Aug 29 | $1 | +$7 | +669% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August? | Jul 29 | $1 | −$1 | -72% |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be b | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025? | Jul 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Jul 14 | $2 | +$2 | +121% |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking? | Jul 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Jul 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July? | Jul 03 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Jun 24 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| India military action against Pakistan before June? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 05 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July? | Jun 05 | $1 | +$2 | +203% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.1% |
| all | 24 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 38% | 38% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 38% | -25.6% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 33% | -32.7% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 29% | -39.2% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 21% | -45.2% |