trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $499 | $497 | −$2 (-0%) |
| Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5) | Perth Glory FC | 7¢ | 0¢ | $65 | $0 | −$65 (-100%) |
| Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5) | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo | 5¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: struggletony (-3.5) vs MASONIC (+3.5) | Jun 12 | $471 | +$29 | +6% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? | Jun 12 | $456 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $223 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5) | May 16 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5) | May 15 | $480 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026? | May 14 | $483 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5) | May 13 | $480 | +$25 | +5% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | May 12 | $479 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $467 | −$3 | -1% |
| Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5) | Apr 25 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, | Apr 25 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Slovenia (-2.5) | Mar 29 | $196 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 28 | $196 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 100% | 0% | -6.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 43% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 14 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 43% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -28.9% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 0% | -34.0% |