Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:21:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74a2…e32f
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$370 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$387 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$169
Realized+$387
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses42 / 27
Open positions2
Markets (closed)69 / 71
Avg bet$168
Trades / day3430.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$387
7 days+$387
14 days+$387
30 days+$387
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 48¢ 50¢ $68 $71 +$3 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 62¢ 50¢ $48 $38 −$9 (-20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 55¢ 52¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 63¢ 48¢ $30 $23 −$8 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $288 −$29 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$71 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$19 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $280 +$69 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$13 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$21 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$91 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$28 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$25 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$24 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$75 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$16 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$18 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $213 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$19 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$17 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $312 +$50 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $286 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $274 +$55 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $360 −$51 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$11 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$32 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$40 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $173 +$50 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $89 −$12 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$17 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $244 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $291 +$64 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$60 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $266 +$46 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $516 −$92 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $297 −$144 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$33 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $232 −$13 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $373 −$212 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $228 −$46 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $231 +$93 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $219 +$119 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$370
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +9.0% -1.3% 61% 43% -6.5%
≤30d 69 +9.0% -1.3% 61% 43% -6.5%
≤90d 69 +9.0% -1.3% 61% 43% -6.5%
all 69 +9.0% -1.3% 61% 43% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3430.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 43% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 22% -15.5%
15% -19.4% 12% -23.7%
20% -27.3% 4% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $169.27 · official $153.54 · 3500 history records