Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:58:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7497…18ce
sports · 253 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$156 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$156 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$76
Realized+$156
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses130 / 117
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions6
Markets (closed)247 / 253
History coverage16d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 6 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$117
14 days+$117
30 days+$156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 57¢ 60¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 53¢ 60¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Andorra leading at halftime? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Kawasaki Frontale leading at halftime? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Valencia (-5.5) Valencia 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Kashiwa Reysol leading at halftime? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: FC Bayern Munchen (-7.5) Telekom Baskets Bonn 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Golden State Valkyries 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at halftime? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$15 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$34 +131%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 +$12 +117%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $5 +$11 +206%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$63 +238%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $10 +$8 +77%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$12 +116%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $10 +$9 +91%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $13 +$10 +76%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +227%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Olimpia Milano (-8.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 11 $20 +$5 +25%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Gigantes de Carolina vs. Atleticos de San German Jun 11 $5 +$6 +121%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 +$9 +92%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$4 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-8.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +72%
Spread: Criollos de Caguas (-8.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$51
other 23% −$26
crypto 12% +$100
world 1% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 50¢ $10 1h
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BUY BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $60 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 57¢ $20 6h
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $20 6h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 30¢ $10 7h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 SELL Over 99¢ $20 9h
United States leading at halftime? SELL Yes 78¢ $22 9h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 BUY Over 50¢ $20 9h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 SELL Over 100¢ $9 12h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY BC Dubai 32¢ $5 18h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 100¢ $10 22h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 BUY Over 57¢ $5 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 23h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 49¢ $5 23h
United States leading at halftime? BUY Yes 35¢ $10 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +8.4% -2.0% 53% 52% +2.0%
≤30d 247 +5.9% -4.2% 53% 51% -0.6%
≤90d 247 +5.9% -4.2% 53% 51% -0.6%
all 247 +5.9% -4.2% 53% 51% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 51% -0.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 49% -10.1%
15% -21.7% 48% -18.8%
20% -29.4% 44% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.63 · official $75.63 (match) · 428 history records