Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7495…7fcf
other · 1014 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$22,738 +134%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,234 · open +$20,395
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53,634
Realized+$2,234
Unrealized+$20,395
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses123 / 95
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions498
Markets (closed)218 / 1014
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day2756.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 498 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,234
7 days+$2,234
14 days+$2,234
30 days+$2,234
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No 30¢ 94¢ $342 $1,054 +$712 (+208%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? No 14¢ 68¢ $172 $822 +$650 (+378%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No 28¢ 74¢ $224 $591 +$367 (+164%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 15¢ 72¢ $120 $580 +$460 (+383%)
Megaquake by June 30? No 27¢ 94¢ $161 $554 +$394 (+245%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No 9¢ 87¢ $53 $496 +$443 (+840%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 2¢ 62¢ $16 $493 +$476 (+2896%)
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? No 21¢ 68¢ $143 $466 +$323 (+226%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 16¢ 54¢ $129 $430 +$300 (+232%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No 15¢ 50¢ $128 $421 +$293 (+229%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 17¢ 52¢ $136 $412 +$276 (+203%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No 6¢ 59¢ $40 $396 +$355 (+883%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? No 16¢ 48¢ $128 $380 +$252 (+197%)
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? Yes 24¢ 50¢ $181 $374 +$193 (+106%)
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No 35¢ 95¢ $126 $342 +$216 (+172%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 3¢ 39¢ $25 $327 +$302 (+1193%)
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes 22¢ 64¢ $106 $310 +$204 (+193%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 11¢ 79¢ $43 $308 +$265 (+612%)
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30? SpaceX 93¢ 96¢ $272 $279 +$7 (+3%)
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 39¢ 88¢ $122 $273 +$151 (+124%)
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? No 98¢ 97¢ $268 $266 −$3 (-1%)
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes 38¢ 63¢ $159 $264 +$105 (+66%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? No 88¢ 88¢ $261 $260 −$2 (-1%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 97¢ 98¢ $255 $259 +$4 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 24¢ 21¢ $293 $252 −$41 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $33 +$84 +257%
UFC Fight Night: Victor Henry vs. Bryce Mitchell (Bantamweight, Main C Jun 14 $22 +$19 +85%
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Jun 14 $211 −$11 -5%
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +157%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Jun 14 $24 −$4 -18%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? Jun 14 $456 +$5 +1%
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m? Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 14 $246 +$23 +9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Jun 14 $200 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026? Jun 14 $19 −$2 -9%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $11 −$3 -25%
Will Trump post "Ted" or "Cruz" on Truth Social this week? Jun 14 $26 +$54 +212%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Jun 14 $94 −$34 -36%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 14 $264 +$36 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 14 $15 +$7 +51%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading Jun 14 $8 +$1 +14%
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference? Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading Jun 14 $8 +$1 +14%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading Jun 14 $13 +$2 +12%
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading Jun 14 $6 +$9 +162%
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +67%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Jun 14 $38 −$18 -47%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? Jun 14 $73 $0 +0%
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%? Jun 14 $5 +$9 +194%
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? Jun 14 $27 +$22 +81%
Will Vinicius Jr. score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Team Spirit qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 14 $92 +$20 +21%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 14 $82 +$8 +10%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Jun 14 $4 +$30 +706%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr Jun 14 $14 +$11 +78%
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in June? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30? Jun 14 $32 +$55 +171%
Will Texas win the 2026 College World Series? Jun 14 $9 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 14 $52 −$2 -3%
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $3 +$8 +296%
Will Endrick be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Douglas Santos be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Danilo Santos be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ibanez be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $5 +$11 +218%
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m? Jun 14 $24 +$16 +68%
Will Gabriel Martinelli be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bremer be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Weverton be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% +$19,827
world 15% +$1,564
politics 6% +$292
tech 4% +$121
sports 3% +$190
finance 1% +$19
culture 1% +$498
crypto 0% $0
weather 0% $0
economics 0% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 0m
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 0m
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the w BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the w BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 1m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 1m
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 23¢ $6 1m
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1m
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1m
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference? BUY No 41¢ $3 2m
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 23¢ $0 2m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 20 BUY Yes 36¢ $69 3m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 5m
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June? BUY Yes 28¢ $6 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+45.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 +61.1% +45.7% 56% 43% +14.4%
≤30d 218 +61.1% +45.7% 56% 43% +14.4%
≤90d 218 +61.1% +45.7% 56% 43% +14.4%
all 218 +61.1% +45.7% 56% 43% +14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2756.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +45.7% 43% +14.4%
10% ← realistic here +31.8% 34% +3.4%
15% +19.1% 29% -6.6%
20% +7.4% 26% -15.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53,634.45 · official $82,343.15 · 3500 history records